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The Lions – what next?

November 7, 2011 · 1 Comment

Jack Lewars and Chris Gollop

The next in our ‘what next’ series takes a look at the British and Irish Lions.  It’s worth pointing out right at the start, of course, that the chances of this being the actual Lions’ team are incredibly slim – even forgetting form and fitness, two years is a long time in international rugby.  To give an illustrative example, a proposed Lions team at the end of the 2007 World Cup would never have included Jamie Roberts, a recent Osprey’s debutant, and he was Man of the Series in 2009.  It would also have been a brave man who put money on Simon Shaw making the tour, let alone giving one of the greatest ever performances at lock in the second test.

With those caveats in mind, however, we thought it’d be interesting (not to mention fun) to have a stab at a Lions squad, based on World Cup form and pedigree.  We have also included some speculative possibilities, so that we’ll look brilliant if we’re right.

The Coach

A slightly tricky one, here.  Sir Ian McGeechan can basically have the job whenever he wants but he has categorically ruled out a return to the Lions fold.  Assuming this wasn’t another Steve Redgrave moment, the leading candidate at the moment would be Warren Gatland, given Wales’ glittering World Cup.  With uncertainty over Johnson’s position at England, there is always the chance that someone could take over there and impress in the next two seasons, and the currently-unemployed trio of Jake White, Nick Mallett and (most especially) Graham Henry would all be in the frame.  Henry is the coach with the greatest current standing, but he also managed to lose a Lions test series in 2001 that really, really should have been won.

Front Row – Cian Healey, Matthew Rees, Adam Jones

Probably a slightly easier area to predict than most, given that ‘Prop rockets to stardom’ is a fairly rare headline.  Adam Jones remains the best tighthead prop in the world, and has Lions pedigree, so you’d back him to be starting.  On the other side, the two leading lights at present are Gethin Jenkins and the much-improved Cian Healey.  Although Jenkins has Lions experience, we fancy Healey as the younger man.  The hooker position is uncertain, with no one making an irrefutable claim, but Matthew Rees is a fine player and will want his Wales captaincy back as he returns from injury.   In terms of up-and-coming candidates, any of Dan Cole,  Matt Stevens and the versatile Alex Corbisiero could stake a claim, and Ross Ford might be the dark horse at hooker.

Locks – Luke Charteris, Richie Gray

Luke Charteris’ performances at the recent World Cup set just about everyone purring with admiration, so he’s straight on the current team sheet.  Richie Gray has consistently been one of Scotland’s best performers and his mobility in the loose would be well-suited to Australia’s faster pitches.  If Courtney Lawes can rediscover the form of last Autumn, he will be one of the best second-rows in the world, but he hasn’t looked settled since the Six Nations, and his thumping defence is starting to look a little more like Henry Tuilagi’s than Jonny Wilkinson’s (he was yellow-carded on his return to Northampton last week).  With Ireland and England both looking to refresh their aged packs, however, new players could well emerge here in the next season.

Back row – Sean O’Brien, Sam Warburton, Toby Faletau

There is an absolute abundance of riches here, and balance will be the key in 2009.  We considered and rejected Tom Croft, who was awesome for the 2009 Lions, James Haskell, who has serious potential at 6 or 8, and Stephen Ferris, who is easily the best blindside flanker in the home nations.  The controversy will of course be in selecting Sean O’Brien out of position – a different coach might want specialists in every position, in which case there is the mother of shoot-outs between Warburton and O’Brien at 7.  Either way, it is a fearsomely physical back row, one which can carry, tackle all day and smash the breakdown to pieces.  Faletau is one of the finds of the year, and it is difficult to envisage anyone surging ahead of him.

Half-backs – Mike Phillips, Rhys Priestland

Phillips on form is the best number 9 in the world – better than Du Preez and better than Genia.  He is physical in attack and defence, a good distributor and a great runner, as he showed with some crucial solo tries in the World Cup.  He will need to stay on form to fend off Ben Youngs and Rory Lawson, but he would be favourite at the moment.  He will also consider Danny Care a threat, who was in superb form before injury curtailed his summer.  Our pick for the unexpected contender would be Joe Simpson, however – he is absolutely blisteringly quick, far more so than Youngs or Care, both of whom can turn on the afterburners.  If England use him correctly, he could be what Genia is to Australia, but the word is that it’d need a change in management for his intuitive style to be valued.

At fly-half, Sexton and Hook are both possibilities, but the former has question-marks over his kicking and the latter will be lucky to get a decent run in the position.  Rhys Priestland has been integral to Wales’ resurgence, and has a lovely mix of tactical kicking and flat, threatening distribution.  He also plays with Phillips and Roberts (see below) for Wales, which advances his claim.

Centres – Jamie Roberts, Manu Tuilagi

Roberts showed in 2009 what he can do to defences, and he rediscovered his best form just in time for the World Cup.  He is a brutal runner who creates space for those around him and is the closest thing to a Ma’a Nonu in the Northern Hemisphere (although he can’t pass or kick, yet – it probably doesn’t come up too often when you’re over 17 stone).  Outside him, Tuilagi’s pace and power would be utterly destructive.  He was one of England’s only success stories, and a broken cheek bone won’t keep him from adding tries and caps to his tally.  It is difficult to see anyone else ousting these two if their form continues as it is currently.  There is always the possibility that Tuilagi will have beheaded some unsuspecting opponent, however, in which case Jonathan Davies might sneak into the test team.

Back three – George North, Leigh Halfpenny, Ben Foden

This is the most volatile of the selections, as your wingers in particular are selected mainly on form.  North has had just about every superlative in the book thrown at him in the last two months, although we feel he has yet to prove his pedigree against the top teams.  He would still be starting, however, if the first test was tomorrow.  The other wing could be any number of people – Keith Earls, Ugo Monye and Tommy Bowe were on the 2009 tour; Christian Wade and Charlie Sharples continue to light up the Premiership; and Max Evans has a serious turn of pace for Scotland.  Sticking strictly to current form, Leigh Halfpenny had an excellent World Cup and was just one foot short of kicking Wales into the final, with his 2009 experience and versatility in his favour.  If we’re honest, though, Chris Ashton’s dip in form is largely because England have forgotten how to break the gain line – there’s no one like him for finishing a half-break, and he could run riot with Tuilagi and Roberts creating gaps inside him.  Despite his and England’s poor showing at the World Cup, Ashton still finished as the joint highest try-scorer in the tournament, which is truly astonishing.

At full-back, James Hook is again unlucky to be excluded, but Ben Foden has quietly been one of the most consistent full-backs in the world for two years – rock solid defence, a good decision-maker, very quick and capable of simply smashing players into oblivion when he runs into them.  His try against France was a reminder of his class, and he would complete an exciting and threatening back three.

 

So there you go – a bloody good fifteen.  Particularly exciting is the quality in key positions, such as the back row,the  scrum-half and the centres, although Priestland is not yet a world-class number 10.  Feel free to add your thoughts, challenges and corrections, or simply post your alternative XV.

Categories: Australia · British and Irish Lions · England · Ireland · Scotland · Wales
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Wales 8 – 9 France

October 16, 2011 · Leave a Comment

Warburton upends Clerc in a defining moment of the match

Jon Main

This was a bitterly disappointing result for Welsh fans, as their side fell just short after a heroic 14-man effort.  The turning point of the match was undoubtedly the highly controversial dismissal of Sam Warburton, the Welsh captain, for an 18th minute spear tackle.  Missed kicks then ultimately cost Wales a first ever World Cup final.

The Welsh started the game well and took the lead through an eight-minute James Hook penalty.  However, just a few minutes later Hook dragged a second attempt wide, leaving the score at 3-0.  Replays showed that the fly-half’s standing foot slipped from beneath him, the first in a series of events that suggested it might not be Wales’ night.  Despite this, however, the industry of Williams, North and Faletau was giving Wales a great attacking platform.

Then, so early in the game, came the moment that will haunt Welsh players and fans for some time – possibly even for a generation.  Sam Warburton picked a French lineout move and put in a huge tackle on Vincent Clerc, landing him on his head.  As the French and Welsh players began an unseemly scuffle, cameras and fans alike missed the decision of Alain Rolland to issue a straight red card for the tackle.  As a Welshman, this will forever be a complete injustice.  It was an incredibly harsh decision, and left Wales with 60 minutes to survive without a full complement of players.

After a French penalty made it 3-3, however, Wales started to show the heart they would demonstrate for the rest of the contest.  Halfpenny did brilliantly to clear under pressure and the Welsh defensive line refused to buckle, forcing a knock on.  Indeed, as they returned into the French half, they earned another penalty attempt, which Hook again missed.  There was a growing sense that these missed attempts could be costly – and, ultimately, so it proved.  As France took the lead for the first time through a second Parra penalty, just six minutes before half time, Wales again engineered field position, only for Hook to skew his drop-goal off target.  The men in red trailed 6-3 at half time.

The first score of the second half was always going to be important, and it went to another Parra penalty.  Despite the big defence of Lydiate, as he attempted to compensate for his missing colleague, France were starting to turn the screw.  Then, from nowhere, Mike Phillips pulled Wales back into the game with a piece of individual magic.  Spotting a prop on the fringes, he executed a lovely show-and-go and dived over for a superb solo try.  Stephen Jones, thrown on for the misfiring Hook, had the chance to seize the lead, but his attempt came back off the upright and France remained just in front.

Suddenly, despite the missed conversion, it was all Wales at Eden Park.  Roberts, doubling up as a flanker in the under-pressure Welsh scrum, and Faletau were smashing into Blue jerseys to create momentum and yet another drop goal attempt was crafted, which again went wide.  With time running out, Wales won a penalty on half way and Halfpenny decided to kick for the points.  From 49m, his kick dropped just a foot under the crossbar.  Despite a huge last push, involving 26 consecutive phases, the Welsh could not build to a drop goal and they exited the World Cup.  The question for those of us who supported the valiant losers, however, will always be: how different would it have been if Warburton had not been sent off after just a quarter of the game.

Categories: France · RWC 2011 · Wales
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Wales vs South Africa – tactical analysis

September 11, 2011 · Leave a Comment

The England game may not have been worth discussing; but the South African win over Wales was a cracker.  Our Welsh tactician, Dai Taylor, gives us his thoughts on where the Welsh went wrong.

Despite running South Africa close in their opening pool match of the world cup, the fact that Wales fell agonizingly short against the current world champions, yet again, shows that there is still a gap to be bridged in order for them to compete with rugby’s elite test sides.

Many pundits highlighted the recent lack of game time within the Springboks starting XV as a potential weakness. However, when discussing a lineup sharing over 800 caps between them, it is important to distinguish between ‘game time’ and ‘game experience’. The abundance of the latter in the South African side went a long way to producing a result that left Welsh fans with a familiar nauseous feeling in their stomachs.

The first half of the match was pretty symptomatic of Wales’ performances against the Southern Hemisphere sides of late. They had a great deal of possession and territory and a lot of time was spent in the opponents’ half. However, taking a step back, it was plain to see that the Springbok try line was not really threatened and, despite the views of ITV’s team of pundits, South Africa looked pretty comfortable in the face of the predictable and static Welsh attack.

The second half produced a different affair as Wales started to tailor their attacks to target their opposition’s weaknesses. Jamie Roberts crashed the ball up more frequently and, along with Toby Faletau, began to target Morne Steyn. Steyn, though metronomic with the boot, is a one dimensional fly-half. He is not a running 10 and his defence is non-existent at times, allowing direct running from the Welsh ball carriers to create more line breaks. His decision to rush out of the defensive line allowed Faletau to exploit the resultant dog-leg and touch down for a try. Even when the Springboks were in possession, the Welsh back row forwards, who were outstanding throughout, managed to pressure Steyn, thus preventing any decent distribution and suffocating the outside backs of any meaningful possession. How many times did we see the likes of Jacque Fourie, Bryan Habana or JP Pietersen with ball in hand?

It was also interesting to observe the fledgling half-back partnership of Mike Phillips and Rhys Priestland. Phillips displayed a license to improvise, switching the direction of attack frequently, something he has been heavily criticized for not doing, by the Welsh media. Priestland, an able deputy for the injured Stephen Jones, justified his selection, kicking well out of hand and posing a running threat also. In the forwards, the Welsh set piece functioned superbly against the enforcer Springbok forwards – an area where Wales have traditionally faltered. Once this platform was in place, Wales were able to unleash their creativity, and this propelled them to a 16-10 lead.

However, even when they were behind, South Africa were not struggling simpliciter; they were struggling in second gear. When forced to, top teams show the ability to go up a notch and exert their dominance on proceedings. As in recent meetings, just as Wales began to develop a lead on the scoreboard, the South Africans hit back quickly and clinically. This is not coincidence and is definitely not down to good fortune on the part of the Boks. It is down to determination, resolve and a winning mentality.

The Welsh public will deceive itself, claiming that their team ran South Africa close and that Wales ‘deserved’ to win. The truth is, despite a valiant performance from the Welsh, the Springboks were the worthy and deserved victors. Wales were not snubbed by lady luck or by the officials (James Hook’s first half penalty miss included) but were hurt by their inability to close out games against the world’s top teams. Even if Rhys Priestland had landed that drop-goal with ten minutes left on the clock, I don’t think it would be remotely far-fetched to imagine a penalty, drop goal or even a try winning it for South Africa, back at the other end. As Wales’ Test centurion, Gareth Thomas, touched upon at full time, Wales should look for more than a pat on the back for a good effort and should be disappointed at an opportunity missed. Perhaps, Warburton & Co. can raise the bar and show the Welsh public what they are really capable of.

Categories: RWC 2011 · South Africa · Wales
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Wales fall agonisingly short against rattled Springboks

September 11, 2011 · Leave a Comment

In easily the finest game of the World Cup so far, Wales and South Africa played out a classic.  In a game full of intensity and excitement, South Africa eventually held on for a one point win.  Openly partisan Welshman Jon Main watched the game for Foot in Touch.

Pre-game, the murmurings amongst our local supporters all centred on the unfathomable selection of Priestland at fly half and Hook at full back. Priestland is a promising player but one who has played only four games for Wales. The common thinking amongst the Welsh I spoke to was that, in such an obviously crucial game, Wales would need Hook’s creativity to take the game to the Springboks. In the event, however, Priestland had a fine game, and was instrumental in Wales running the South Africans as close as they did.

The Springboks opened the game confidently, scoring the first try of the game inside 4 minutes – really not the start we wanted. Wales responded with some speed and aggression, seeing both wingers heavily involved and leading to a penalty converted by Hook. A second penalty for Hook arced just wide of the upright and was controversially ruled out by the referee. The swirling wind appeared to be playing nasty tricks with the ball in flight all over the park.

On 20 minutes, Dan Lydiate gave a penalty away allowing the Springbok to reach 10 points. Wales responded with a really physical surge that lacked a little finesse, seeing a few mistakes lose possession as they were just prevented from breaching the solid Springbok defence. I also felt that Priestland again started kicking too much possession away, as he did against England previously. However, a lovely flat pass from Phillips let Jamie Roberts pile into the Springboks, eventually leading to a penalty converted by Hook around the 30 minute mark. We attack hard again but need something to finish it off with, as the Springbok defence was up so fast. In the closing minutes of the first half, each side snatched at a drop goal, each effort a fair way off target.

At the half time interval, trailing just 10-6, there was every chance that Wales’ much-vaunted fitness would tell.  Optimism abounded.

The second half saw Priestland immediately use his boot to better effect.  A brilliantly placed tumbling kick stopped an inch from the line, and Hook’s attention forced Steyn to concede a 5m line out.  The subsequent pressure saw a penalty for offside, which Hook converted to cut the gap to one point with thirty minutes remaining.

Wales continued to turn up the heat, clearly fired up by their half time team talk. Great handling all round and committed running saw them make ground and lovely soft hands from Priestland sent the immense Toby Faletau bundling over.  Hook’s conversion gave Wales a 16-10 lead, and the men in red were rampant.  Faletau again broke the line, shrugging off Morne Steyn from a well-worked set play, and Roberts was on his shoulder to take his offload.  Unfortunately, George North spilt the ball in his eagerness – and it proved to be an important loss.  From scrambled defence on their own line, the Springboks made ground, won a penalty and pushed it to the corner.  As they rumbled through the phases, Shane Williams went missing from the line and substitute Francois Hougaard dived over under the posts.  An easy conversion made it 17-16 to South Africa, and Wales were left staring at another heartbreaking defeat.

Wales, however, were not finished.  More strong midfield running gave them a platform and Priestland dropped back for a drop goal.  Under little pressure, and well inside the 22, he would have expected to land his attempt – but he dragged it wide, to his obvious disgust.  Undeterred, Wales came again, and won a penalty for hands in the ruck near the right touchline.  James Hook, a reliable goalkicker, had the chance to land a famous penalty, but he also failed to hold his nerve.  South Africa ran the clock down, and Wales were left to reflect on yet another game against the Springboks in which they came up just short.

Warren Gatland and his team will take much from this game – Priestland stood and delivered; the South Africans were matched and even beaten for physicality; and the side showed composure and the ability to make ground.  However, the real challenge will be to lift the players after such a demoralising defeat.  Wales targeted this game far in advance, and did enough to win – Priestland and Hook just didn’t deliver when it really mattered.  The psychological effects of such a narrow defeat will be profound, and it will fall to the Wales coaching staff to ensure that a talented squad do not fall away from a performance of power, pace and purpose.  It would be a crying shame if this was their best game in the World Cup.

Categories: RWC 2011 · South Africa · Wales
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England vs. Wales, 13.08.11

August 16, 2011 · Leave a Comment

Mike Phillips was one of the players who caught the eye of Jon Main on Saturday

The reaction to last Saturday’s Anglo-Welsh Test has been considerable, to say the least.  Some critics have been quick to write off England’s chances, believing that they have regressed to the directionless team of 2010; others have claimed that a few tweaks, allied to such dominance of possession and territory, will see England challenging the best.  As for the players, they have spoken in platitudes (Mike Tindall); of their shame and hurt (Toby Flood); and of the idiocy and incompetence of some rugby commentators (Danny Care, waging Twitter war with Stephen Jones after he gave Shontayne Hape 1/10 in The Times).  

All this has somewhat obscured the Welsh reaction to the game, as they celebrate a confidence-boosting victory and continue to hone their own squad for New Zealand.  Foot In Touch therefore decided to seek out a perspective from across Offa’s Dyke, to give a bit of balance (and to avoid another article slagging off England’s centres).  Proud Welshman Jon Main was at the game, and gives us his thoughts on the game, the Welsh squad and which players stood out.

There were a few recurring thoughts that came away from the game: ‘Toby Faletau is getting better with every match’; ‘what does James Hook have to do to be started at 10?’; ‘Mike Philips back to his aggressive top form’; and ‘what justified the 2 yellow cards that saw us down to 14 men for a quarter of the match?’

Young Toby Faletau had a cracking game; virtually every breakdown saw him throwing his body into the thick of it and most kick chases featured him as a front runner.  A Polynesian physique lends itself so well to a mobile, hard hitting athlete and most of the Welsh fans are hoping for great things from the young warrior.  It was also a real pleasure to see Hook move back to 10 at half time, and the difference he made was unmistakable after Preistland’s slightly excessive eagerness to kick much-needed possession away.  His injection of flare and the trouble he can cause for an opposition’s defensive line is proof enough, I believe, that he should be started at 10.

James’ try only added to this impression.  His ability to beat tacklers with his trademark frantic shimmy, then double back on himself at pace whilst having the strength to break a third tackle and make the line stands him in prime position for first choice fly half.  It is very useful to have Stephen Jones, hard-hitting and solid as a rock, as an alternative for games when less flare and more control is required, but Hook needs to start.

Another joy for any Welshman was seeing Mike Philips back to his old and idolised role as the ’9th forward’.  The number of times I have seen him driving a number 7 backwards, making a big try saving tackle or just generally making life physically hard for the enemy are countless.  Saturday was no exception.  His counter-rucking lead to an important turnover at one stage and the amount of grafting he put in, beyond the typical scrum half role, was outstanding.  There were genuine echoes of his Lions form.

Moving onto the game itself, no one in the stadium was able to explain the two sin binnings; not even our friends at home, ardent supporters, could offer any insight.  For us, it was a great win given that we were down to 14 men for a quarter of the game and with our scrum being categorically destroyed.  How would things have been with the Lions front row in play?  This also featured a lot in what the Welsh said pre-game: ‘our scrum was destroyed last week so why the hell is Adam Jones not on the bench, let alone not starting?’

Finally, no article on Wales is complete without mentioning the Henson Question, a big debate around our area and one which genuinely divides supporters into two groups.   Some people love him.  I believe him to be of world class – his natural talent is just outstanding and it is such a tragedy that he was allowed to ruin himself.  He isn’t the most worldly wise person, so it is isn’t hard to believe that, as a young player in such a bright spotlight, he could go off the rails.  Others hate him and can’t see past the arrogant image he has on the soulless TV shows that clutter the airwaves today.  ’He is a fairy’ and ‘waste of space’ are commonly heard around the land; but on Saturday he was committed and it is such a shame that he had to depart so early.  Is that it for Henson’s World Cup bid?  Or is that it for him forever?  I, for one, hope not.

Categories: England · Wales
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